OverCount

NBA hit rates for any line you type. Last 5, 10, 20 games, this season and last.

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Pelle Larsson prop hit rates: points, rebounds & assists

Miami Heat · G

Pelle Larsson is averaging 11.1 points, 3.1 rebounds and 3.7 assists in 2026-27 (10 games). Over his last 10 games he put up 11.1 / 3.1 / 3.7 (17.9 PRA) and scored more than 11.5 points in 5 of 10.

Type any line below to see how often Pelle Larsson went over it in his last 5, 10 and 20 games, in 2026-27 and in 2025-26.

Stats through Nov 8, 2026 games · page updated

Line set to his last-10 average. Type your own.

Pelle Larsson · Points over 11.5

Miami Heat · G · 81 games in 2025-26 & 2026-27
Tonight: @ UTA · Def #24 · vs G #12 · Off #11 · G #19 · Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 PM ET

Opponent defense · threes & rebounds

vs UTA G defense3PM #3 tough3PT% #9 toughREB #13 mid

2026-27 · 10 team games · rank 1 = least allowed; rank 30 = most. G is the first listed position bucket. Small samples are not predictions.

UTA defense 10 games

UTA allowed to opposing positions in 2026-27
Opp. position3PM allowed / gameOpp. 3PT%REB allowed / game
G5.7#3 tough33.1%#9 tough57/172 made/attempted15.0#13 mid
F5.9#24 soft37.8%#28 soft59/156 made/attempted23.4#27 soft
C0.6#20 mid42.9%#23 soft6/14 made/attempted8.1#20 mid

Recent form · PTS

Selected line: 11.5 · not a sportsbook quote
Last 1050%5/10 overavg 11.1 · med 11.5
Last 10 games010.621.22026-10-21 vs MIN: 2 PTS Under2MIN−2026-10-23 vs DET: 7 PTS Under7DET−2026-10-24 @ CHA: 15 PTS Over15CHA✓2026-10-26 vs DAL: 12 PTS Over12DAL✓2026-10-28 @ ATL: 17 PTS Over17ATL✓2026-10-30 vs IND: 18 PTS Over18IND✓2026-11-02 @ LAL: 9 PTS Under9LAL−2026-11-04 @ LAC: 7 PTS Under7LAC−2026-11-05 @ GSW: 13 PTS Over13GSW✓2026-11-08 @ SAC: 11 PTS Under11SAC−Line · 11.5

Oldest to newest · ✓ over / − under / = push · hover or focus bars for game details

Hit-rate comparison

Same selected line · sample sizes shown · splits span both seasons

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 2055%11/20
Home49%19/39
Away40%17/42
H2H · UTA100%1/1

Home & away splits (2025-26 + 2026-27)

Home

19 / 39 overavg 12.2 · med 11

Away

17 / 42 overavg 10.5 · med 10

Head-to-head · vs UTA

vs UTA

1 / 1 overavg 20 · med 20
Head-to-head vs UTA011.823.62026-01-24 @ UTA: 20 PTS Over20UTA✓Line · 11.5

Oldest to newest · ✓ over / − under / = push · hover or focus bars for game details

1 recorded meeting across both seasons. Limited sample — not a prediction.

Season totals

2026-2750%5/10 overavg 11.1 · med 11.5
2025-2644%31/71 overavg 11.4 · med 10

Game log

DateOppResultMINPTSvs line
Nov 8 26@ SACW 114-1082211Under
Nov 5 26@ GSWL 100-1202913Over
Nov 4 26@ LACW 117-116357Under
Nov 2 26@ LALL 117-138309Under
Oct 30 26vs INDW 145-1252418Over
Oct 28 26@ ATLW 129-1173117Over
Oct 26 26vs DALL 109-1133412Over
Oct 24 26@ CHAL 110-1153615Over
Oct 23 26vs DETL 111-128297Under
Oct 21 26vs MINL 106-131242Under
Apr 14 26@ CHAL 126-127226Under
Apr 10 26@ WASW 140-1172724Over
Apr 9 26@ TORL 114-1283210Under
Apr 7 26@ TORL 95-121267Under
Apr 4 26vs WASW 152-1362416Over
Apr 1 26vs BOSL 129-1473818Over
Mar 30 26vs PHIW 119-1093620Over
Mar 29 26@ INDL 118-1353615Over
Mar 27 26@ CLEL 128-1492610Under
Mar 25 26@ CLEW 120-1033414Over
Mar 23 26vs SASL 111-136237Under
Mar 21 26@ HOUL 122-1233119Over
Mar 19 26vs LALL 126-1343311Under
Mar 17 26@ CHAL 106-1362814Over
Mar 14 26vs ORLL 117-1213515Over
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Pelle Larsson averages

WindowPTSREBAST3PMPRA
Last 5 (5 g)11.62.63.21.617.4
Last 10 (10 g)11.13.13.71.317.9
Last 20 (20 g)12.63.73.61.019.9
2026-27 (10 g)11.13.13.71.317.9
2025-26 (71 g)11.43.53.40.918.2

Pelle Larsson last 10 games

DateOppResultMINPTSREBAST3PM
2026-11-08@ SACW 114-1082211333
2026-11-05@ GSWL 100-1202913143
2026-11-04@ LACW 117-116357340
2026-11-02@ LALL 117-138309321
2026-10-30vs INDW 145-1252418331
2026-10-28@ ATLW 129-1173117682
2026-10-26vs DALL 109-1133412041
2026-10-24@ CHAL 110-1153615741
2026-10-23vs DETL 111-128297211
2026-10-21vs MINL 106-131242340
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